Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Den Haag W vs SBV Excelsior W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Den Haag W Logo

Den Haag W

3 - 2
FT
SBV Excelsior W Logo

SBV Excelsior W

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Mulder N. In: Van Schaik I.
Out: Mulder N.
21'
Helderman Y.
22' Event
Verheijen J.
Assist: van Spijk V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Den Haag W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Den Haag W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Den Haag W
15%
Draws
0%
SBV Excelsior W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Den Haag W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Den Haag W lately — more wins on the board than SBV Excelsior W.
  • Win probability leans Den Haag W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Den Haag W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Den Haag W Clean Sheet 18%
SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Den Haag W SBV Excelsior W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.16 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Den Haag W vs SBV Excelsior W
3:2
Dec 21, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Den Haag W
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Den Haag W
0:4
Dec 8, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Den Haag W vs SBV Excelsior W
4:0
May 1, 2024 Eredivisie Women
SBV Excelsior W vs Den Haag W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Den Haag W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonoda Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Schaik I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.08

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer Verheijen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burgers J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Den Haag W 36 / 100
SBV Excelsior W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Den Haag W SBV Excelsior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SBV Excelsior W has conceded goals in 96% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

SBV Excelsior W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Den Haag W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Den Haag W VS SBV Excelsior W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.71
2 Goals Conceded 2.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Den Haag W

(Home)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
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SBV Excelsior W

(Away)
18 Jul
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 4
De Graafschap W
22 May
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
08 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
03 May
SBV Excelsior W
0 : 2
Ajax W
26 Apr
PEC Zwolle W
4 : 1
SBV Excelsior W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)