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Denbigh vs Bangor 1876 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
McManus D.
67' Event
Evans C.
71' Event
Martin H.

AI Match Summary

Bangor 1876 in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bangor 1876.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Denbigh
15%
Draws
49%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bangor 1876 lately — more wins on the board than Denbigh.
  • Denbigh are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Bangor 1876
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bangor 1876
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh
3:4
Apr 23, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bangor 1876
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bangor 1876 Compare

Top Goalscorer McManus D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 34 / 100
Bangor 1876 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor 1876's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Denbigh's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Bangor 1876 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Bangor 1876
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

Bangor 1876

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)