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Denbigh vs Bangor 1876 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Denbigh have averaged 1.47 scored and 2.17 conceded recently, against Bangor 1876's 1.96 scored and 2 conceded. Head-to-head, Denbigh have won 2 to Bangor 1876's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 2.44) back Bangor 1876 to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Denbigh
15%
Draws
49%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangor 1876

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bangor 1876 lately — more wins on the board than Denbigh.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Denbigh taking it.
  • Bangor 1876 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangor 1876, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Bangor 1876
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.96
Goals Conceded 2.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bangor 1876
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bangor 1876
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh
3:4
Apr 23, 2024 Cymru North
Denbigh vs Bangor 1876
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 34 / 100
Bangor 1876 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangor 1876 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Denbigh found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Bangor 1876 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS Bangor 1876
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

Bangor 1876

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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