Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Brown N.
16'
16'
Davies O.
23'
23'
Davies O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-1, with Denbigh advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanuwchllyn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Denbigh carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Denbigh's way, sitting at 90%.
- Denbigh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Denbigh, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 16%
Llanuwchllyn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Denbigh | Llanuwchllyn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 20 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 14, 2024 FA Cup
Denbigh vs Llanuwchllyn
7:1
Aug 14, 2021 FA Cup
Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Denbigh Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown N.
3 Goals Assists Leader Davies O.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Llanuwchllyn Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Denbigh 84 / 100
Llanuwchllyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Denbigh Llanuwchllyn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denbigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Denbigh scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Llanuwchllyn conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Llanuwchllyn lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Denbigh VS Llanuwchllyn
1.25 Goals Scored 0.6
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Denbigh
(Home) 21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
14 Aug
Ruthin Town
2 : 1 Denbigh
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2 Bangor 1876
01 Aug
Buckley
2 : 4 Denbigh
17 Jul
Denbigh
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 7
21 Aug
Denbigh
2 : 3 Porthmadog
08 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 2 Bangor 1876
17 Jul
Denbigh
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
03 Apr
Denbigh
1 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Mar
Denbigh
1 : 1 Holyhead
Page 1 of 3
Llanuwchllyn
(Away) 22 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
0 : 0 Rhyl
15 Aug
Bangor 1876
5 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
08 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 1 Buckley
01 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
5 : 1 Llanuwchllyn
22 Jul
Bala
2 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 4
15 Aug
Bangor 1876
5 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
01 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
5 : 1 Llanuwchllyn
22 Jul
Bala
2 : 0 Llanuwchllyn
08 Jul
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
14 Dec
Denbigh
7 : 1 Llanuwchllyn
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cardiff Corries 4
Risca United 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llantwit Major 3
Ely Rangers 2
Caldicot 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United -
TBD -
TBD -
Goytre Utd -
Llandudno FC 4
Llanberis FC 0
Kinmel Bay 3
Brickfield Rangers 1
Penydarren 4
Porthcawl Town 3
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Cwmbran Town 1
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Llandudno Amateurs 0
Holyhead 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Trearddur Bay 2
NFA 1
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TNS -
TBD -
St. Asaph 0
Llangollen 2
Buckley 7
Builth 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruthin Town -
Queens Park 1
Porthmadog 6
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Goytre AFC 3
Pencoed 1
St Joseph's 0
Cardiff Draconians 3
Caersws FC 5
Cefn Albion 0
Rhyl 2
Flint Mountain 1
Bangor 1876 -
TBD -
Corwen 0
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
West End 0
Ynysygerwn 1
Rogerstone 3
Flint Town -
TBD -
Gresford 9
Prestatyn 0
Bala -
TBD -
Carno FC 0
Llanrhaeadr 4
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Trefelin 4
Newport Corinthians 1
Llwydcoed 0
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Penrhyncoch 2
Talysarn Celts 1
TBD -
Mold Alexandra -
New Inn 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanrwst United 5
Menai Bridge Tigers 1
Llansannan 0
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh -
TBD -
Llangefni 7
Gaerwen 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 1
Llanuwchllyn 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Aber Valley 3
Cwmamman United 1
Pure Swansea 5
Baglan Dragons 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Taffs Well 0
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Treherbert 1
Clwb Cymric 2
TBD -
Llanelli -
Newport City 0
Monmouth 2
Chepstow Town 0
Pill 1
1/32-finals
Cardiff Corries 3
Afan Lido 4
Llantwit Major 1
Morriston Town 2
Cambrian United 1
Goytre Utd 0
Llandudno FC 4
Kinmel Bay 3
Penydarren 2
Pontypridd United 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Holyhead 1
Caernarfon 0
Llannefydd 1
Trearddur Bay 2
Penybont 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 16
Llangollen 0
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 2
Porthmadog 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Goytre AFC 1
Cardiff Draconians 0
Caersws FC 7
Rhyl 4
Bangor 1876 2
Llay Welfare 1
Barry Town 3
Caerau Ely 4
Cardiff Bay Warriors 2
Rogerstone 4
Flint Town 5
Gresford 1
Bala 3
Llanrhaeadr 1
Trefelin 5
Newport Corinthians 0
Connahs Q. 5
Guilsfield 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Mold Alexandra 3
New Inn 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanrwst United 2
Cerrigydrudion 1
Denbigh 4
Llangefni 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Newtown 0
Aber Valley 0
Pure Swansea 2
Aberystwyth 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 1
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Clwb Cymric 0
Llanelli 3
Monmouth 2
Pill 3
1/16-finals
Afan Lido 2
Morriston Town 1
Cambrian United 3
Llandudno FC 2
Penydarren 2
Carmarthen Town 3
Holyhead 1
Trearddur Bay 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
TNS 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ruthin Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Goytre AFC 1
Caersws FC 2
Bangor 1876 1
Caerau Ely 8
Rogerstone 1
Flint Town 2
Bala 3
Trefelin 1
Connahs Q. 2
Mold Alexandra 2
Briton Ferry 1
Llanrwst United 0
Denbigh 3
Llanuwchllyn 3
Pure Swansea 0
Ammanford Town 1
Haverfordwest 2
Llanelli 4
Pill 0
1/8-finals
Afan Lido 0
Cambrian United 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Holyhead 0
TNS 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Caersws FC 0
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Denbigh 7
Llanuwchllyn 1
Haverfordwest 0
Llanelli 2
Quarter-finals
Cambrian United 3
Carmarthen Town 1
TNS 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Caerau Ely 0
Connahs Q. 2
Denbigh 0
Llanelli 1
Semi-finals
Cambrian United 0
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 2
Llanelli 1
Final
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
