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Denbigh vs Rhayader - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Cymru Alliance 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Denbigh and Rhayader finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Denbigh
15%
Draws
42%
Rhayader
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Rhayader haven't matched Denbigh's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Denbigh a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Denbigh have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 16%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denbigh Rhayader
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 17 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 2.14 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.95 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Rhayader
6:0
Oct 24, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Denbigh
2:3
Dec 6, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Denbigh vs Rhayader
1:0
Aug 16, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Denbigh
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denbigh 84 / 100
Rhayader 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denbigh Rhayader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhayader let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Denbigh scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Difficult form: Rhayader registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denbigh VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Denbigh

(Home)
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
11 Sept
Denbigh
5 : 2
Bala
05 Sept
Newtown
1 : 0
Denbigh
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 8

Rhayader

(Away)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)