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Dender vs Cercle Brugge - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kondo G.
Assist: Nazinho F.
40'
Jahanbakhsh A.
41'
Sambu M.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Dender and Cercle Brugge finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cercle Brugge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Dender
15%
Draws
5%
Cercle Brugge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dender come out ahead of Cercle Brugge on wins alone.
  • Dender are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dender Clean Sheet 17%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Cercle Brugge
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.11 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Dender
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Cercle Brugge
1:4
Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Dender
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Cercle Brugge
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Cercle Brugge
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbamba N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaby I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 84 / 100
Cercle Brugge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Cercle Brugge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Dender has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dender's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Cercle Brugge
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
20 Sept
Dender
1 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Cercle Brugge

(Away)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
Cercle Brugge
0 : 3
Gent
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
13 Waregem 6 5 1 0 15:6 48
14 Cercle Brugge 6 3 1 2 14:11 41
15 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 0 5 5:13 34
16 Dender 6 2 0 4 7:11 25
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)