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Dender vs RAAL La Louviere

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Fall P. M.
32'
Sub
Jahanbakhsh A. In: Nsimba B.
Out: Jahanbakhsh A.
34' Event
Berte M.
Assist: Acquah D.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Dender and RAAL La Louviere finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dender.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Dender
15%
Draws
18%
RAAL La Louviere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dender come out ahead of RAAL La Louviere on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dender a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dender Clean Sheet 20%
RAAL La Louviere Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender RAAL La Louviere
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs RAAL La Louviere
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs Dender
0:1
Dec 5, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs Dender
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs RAAL La Louviere
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Dender vs RAAL La Louviere
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Berte M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

RAAL La Louviere Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall P. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 85 / 100
RAAL La Louviere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender RAAL La Louviere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RAAL La Louviere let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dender stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dender's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS RAAL La Louviere
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
20 Sept
Dender
1 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
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RAAL La Louviere

(Away)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
29 Aug
RAAL La Louviere
2 : 2
KV Mechelen
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
13 Waregem 6 5 1 0 15:6 48
14 Cercle Brugge 6 3 1 2 14:11 41
15 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 0 5 5:13 34
16 Dender 6 2 0 4 7:11 25
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)