Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Eckert D.
14'
14'
Moutha-Sebtaoui N.
Assist: Berte M.
21'
21'
Sub
Karamoko I. In: Hautekiet I.
Out: Karamoko I.
AI Match Summary
Dender in this Belgian Cup tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: St. Liege
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- St. Liege have won more games recently than Dender.
- Win probability leans St. Liege's way, sitting at 40%.
- St. Liege arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor St. Liege, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Dender Clean Sheet 12%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dender | St. Liege |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.71 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.86 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs St. Liege
0:1
Dec 2, 2025 Belgian Cup
Dender vs St. Liege
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Dender
1:1
May 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Dender
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs St. Liege
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dender Compare
Top Goalscorer Moutha-Sebtaoui N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hrncar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35
St. Liege Compare
Top Goalscorer Eckert D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nkada T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dender 27 / 100
St. Liege 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dender St. Liege
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dender found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).
St. Liege let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Dender has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dender VS St. Liege
0.71 Goals Scored 2.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
43% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dender
(Home) 23 May
Dender
0 : 0 Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2 Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1 Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1 RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1 Dender
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Dender
0 : 0 Lommel SK
03 May
Dender
2 : 1 RAAL La Louviere
19 Apr
Dender
1 : 4 Cercle Brugge
12 Apr
Dender
1 : 2 Waregem
22 Mar
Dender
1 : 3 Gent
Page 1 of 3
St. Liege
(Away) 26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1 RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1 Juventus
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0 St. Liege
11 Jul
St. Liege
1 : 0 Francs Borains
08 Jul
RFC Aubel
0 : 4 St. Liege
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0 St. Liege
08 Jul
RFC Aubel
0 : 4 St. Liege
04 Jul
Verlaine
0 : 7 St. Liege
19 May
Westerlo
1 : 2 St. Liege
03 May
Antwerp
0 : 5 St. Liege
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
RFC Liege0
Charleroi1
KV Mechelen2
Lierse SK1
RFC Seraing1
Leuven3
Club Brugge6
Eendracht Aalst1
Dender4
OC Charleroi2
SK Beveren1
St. Liege2
Tubize-Braine0
Royale Union SG3
Belisia Bilzen1
Waregem4
Genk3
RWDM Brussels0
Ninove0
Anderlecht2
Cercle Brugge1
Kortrijk0
Gent5
Patro Eisden0
Antwerp3
Eupen1
Knokke0
St. Truiden1
Beerschot VA3
Westerlo2
Heist1
RAAL La Louviere2
1/8-finals
Charleroi2
KV Mechelen0
Leuven1
Club Brugge2
Dender3
St. Liege2
Royale Union SG2
Waregem1
Genk1
Anderlecht3
Cercle Brugge1
Gent3
Antwerp4
St. Truiden3
Beerschot VA1
RAAL La Louviere2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi2
Club Brugge0
Dender0
Royale Union SG2
Anderlecht1
Gent0
Antwerp2
RAAL La Louviere1
Semi-finals
Charleroi1
Royale Union SG4
Anderlecht4
Antwerp1
Final
Royale Union SG3
Anderlecht1
