Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dender vs Waregem

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Dender Logo

Dender

1 - 2
FT
Waregem Logo

Waregem

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Hrncar D.
Assist: Viltard M.
50'
Hrncar D.
55' Event
Opoku J.
Assist: Ementa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Waregem in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waregem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dender
28%
Draws
50%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Waregem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Dender haven't matched Waregem's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Waregem's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Waregem here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%
Waregem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Waregem
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.88 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Dender
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Waregem
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Dender
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Waregem
2:2
Oct 29, 2024 Belgian Cup
Waregem vs Dender
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrncar D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 22 / 100
Waregem 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waregem has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Dender scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Dender remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Waregem
0.88 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
17 May
Lommel SK
3 : 2
Dender
09 May
Waregem
2 : 1
Dender
03 May
Dender
2 : 1
RAAL La Louviere
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2
Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1
AZ Alkmaar
11 Jul
Waregem
2 : 1
Kryvbas
08 Jul
Waregem
4 : 3
Rakow Czestochowa
04 Jul
Zelzate
1 : 2
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
13Waregem651015:648
14Cercle Brugge631214:1141
15RAAL La Louviere61055:1334
16Dender62047:1125
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)