Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dender vs Waregem

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Dender Football Complex, Denderleeuw
Dender Logo

Dender

1 - 2
FT
Waregem Logo

Waregem

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Hrncar D.
Assist: Viltard M.
50'
Hrncar D.
55' Event
Opoku J.
Assist: Ementa A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Waregem in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waregem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Dender
20%
Draws
38%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dender haven't matched Waregem's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dender's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Waregem here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Dender Clean Sheet 11%
Waregem Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dender Waregem
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.89 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Dender
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Waregem
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Dender
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Waregem
2:2
Oct 29, 2024 Belgian Cup
Waregem vs Dender
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrncar D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Opoku J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dender 35 / 100
Waregem 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dender Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dender scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Waregem let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Dender remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dender VS Waregem
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dender

(Home)
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Waregem

(Away)
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
22 Aug
Waregem
4 : 0
SK Beveren
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0
Waregem
09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1
Genk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
13 Waregem 6 5 1 0 15:6 48
14 Cercle Brugge 6 3 1 2 14:11 41
15 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 0 5 5:13 34
16 Dender 6 2 0 4 7:11 25
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)