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Denia vs Castellon

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Denia Logo

Denia

0 - 0
FT
Castellon Logo

Castellon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Denia
35%
Draws
41%
Castellon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Castellon lately — more wins on the board than Denia.
  • Denia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Castellon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Denia Clean Sheet 15%
Castellon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denia Castellon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Denia
2:0
Oct 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs Castellon
0:0
Jan 30, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon vs Denia
4:0
Sep 19, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Denia vs Castellon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denia 41 / 100
Castellon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denia Castellon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Denia scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Castellon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Denia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castellon
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denia

(Home)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
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Castellon

(Away)
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1
Castellon
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0
Castellon
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Valencia
1 : 2
Castellon
18 Jul
Castellon
2 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)