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Denia vs Eldense

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Denia Logo

Denia

1 - 2
FT
Eldense Logo

Eldense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 game between Denia and Eldense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eldense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Denia
35%
Draws
26%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eldense come out ahead of Denia on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Denia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Denia Clean Sheet 14%
Eldense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denia Eldense
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 21
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs Eldense
1:2
Dec 2, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Eldense vs Denia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denia 39 / 100
Eldense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denia Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denia found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Eldense let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Denia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eldense
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denia

(Home)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
Page 1 of 6

Eldense

(Away)
22 Aug
Eldense
2 : 2
Cadiz
17 Aug
Almeria
3 : 0
Eldense
11 Aug
Eldense
3 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD
07 Aug
Albacete
1 : 0
Eldense
04 Aug
Eldense
1 : 3
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)