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Denizlispor vs Kirikkale FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu, Denizli
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Yildirim E.
32' Event
Suzen G.
47' Event
Tosun E.

AI Match Summary

Denizlispor in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denizlispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Denizlispor
35%
Draws
32%
Kirikkale FK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kirikkale FK lately — more wins on the board than Denizlispor.
  • Model gives Denizlispor a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Denizlispor Clean Sheet 68%
Kirikkale FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denizlispor Kirikkale FK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Denizlispor vs Kirikkale FK
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Kirikkale FK vs Denizlispor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denizlispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yildirim E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzen G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Kirikkale FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Tosun E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denizlispor 50 / 100
Kirikkale FK 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denizlispor Kirikkale FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denizlispor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Kirikkale FK conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Denizlispor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Kirikkale FK registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kirikkale FK
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denizlispor

(Home)
26 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Nigde
20 Apr
Orduspor 1967
1 : 0
Denizlispor
13 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Mardin 1969
06 Apr
Denizlispor
0 : 0
Edirnespor Genclik
02 Apr
Denizlispor
1 : 1
Agri 1970
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Kirikkale FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)