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Denizlispor vs Mardin 1969

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dilek U.
57' Event
Kodal D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Denizlispor
33%
Draws
40%
Mardin 1969
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Denizlispor.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Mardin 1969.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Denizlispor Clean Sheet 17%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denizlispor Mardin 1969
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 23
Draws 12 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Denizlispor vs Mardin 1969
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Mardin 1969 vs Denizlispor
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denizlispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodal D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denizlispor 28 / 100
Mardin 1969 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denizlispor Mardin 1969

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denizlispor scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Mardin 1969 let in goals in 50% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Denizlispor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mardin 1969 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mardin 1969
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mardin 196930207364:2467
2Sebat Spor Kulubu30214573:2867
3Agri 197030177642:2758
4Zonguldak Komurspor30176741:2857
5K. Istklalspor30168655:2656
6Kirikkale FK30166844:3154
7Orduspor 196730165961:3353
8Bursa Nilufer301011938:2941
9Erciyes 3830971435:4834
101926 Polatli Belediye30781537:5829
11Izmir Coruhlu30771641:5828
12Nigde30691530:5327
13Edirnespor Genclik30571828:6222
14Tepecik30491724:5421
15Denizlispor305121327:5521
16Turgutlu30471934:6019