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Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Teglpark stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Denmark U16 W play Sweden U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Denmark U16 W averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Sweden U16 W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Denmark U16 W won 2, Sweden U16 W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 16, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.70 for Denmark U16 W and 1.35 for Sweden U16 W. This points to a Denmark U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Denmark U16 W
15%
Draws
35%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Denmark U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.70 vs 1.35 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Denmark U16 W Clean Sheet 18%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.79 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.14 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
3:0
Nov 13, 2024 Friendly International Women
Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
3:0
Sep 15, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U16 W vs Denmark U16 W
3:3
Sep 14, 2022 Friendly International Women
Sweden U16 W vs Denmark U16 W
4:2
Jul 4, 2022 Friendly International Women
Denmark U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokholm E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeppesen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.42
Avg xA / game 1.57

Sweden U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U16 W 49 / 100
Sweden U16 W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Denmark U16 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Denmark U16 W attacking → ← attacking Sweden U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark U16 W scored in 83% of their last 24 games.

Sweden U16 W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Denmark U16 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 29
3.14 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25