Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark U17 vs Italy U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2026 Kalevi Keskstaadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bro Hansen M.
Assist: Madsen N.
24' Event
Biondini E.
40'
Biondini E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 2026 game between Denmark U17 and Italy U17 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Denmark U17
30%
Draws
37%
Italy U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Italy U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Denmark U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U17 Italy U17
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 13 25
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.70 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Euro U17
Denmark U17 vs Italy U17
3:3
Jun 2, 2024 Euro U17
Denmark U17 vs Italy U17
0:1
Sep 7, 2023 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Denmark U17
3:1
Oct 12, 2011 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Denmark U17
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bro Hansen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekstrand T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.85

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Biondini E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dattilo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U17 35 / 100
Italy U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U17 Italy U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Denmark U17's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Italy U17 conceded in 67% of 36 recent games.

Denmark U17 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U17 VS Italy U17
2.14 Goals Scored 1.63
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U17

(Home)
01 Jun
Denmark U17
3 : 3
Italy U17
29 May
France U17
4 : 0
Denmark U17
26 May
Montenegro U17
1 : 2
Denmark U17
31 Mar
Denmark U17
6 : 2
Austria U17
28 Mar
Kazakhstan U17
0 : 3
Denmark U17
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17

(Away)
30 Aug
Hungary U17
1 : 3
Italy U17
26 Aug
Italy U17
3 : 3
Turkey U17
07 Jun
Belgium U17
1 : 2
Italy U17
04 Jun
Italy U17
2 : 1
Spain U17
01 Jun
Denmark U17
3 : 3
Italy U17
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Spain U17 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Croatia U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
4 Estonia U17 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 France U17 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Denmark U17 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
4 Montenegro U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Euro U17 2026 (Play Offs)