Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark U21 vs Norway U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 La Quinta Football Center, Marbella
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fiabema B.
7'
Arnstad K.
22' Event
Osula W.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Denmark U21
6%
Draws
4%
Norway U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Denmark U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Norway U21 have won more games recently than Denmark U21.
  • Model gives Denmark U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U21 Norway U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Norway U21
0:1
Jun 6, 2024 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Norway U21
3:3
Jun 6, 2003 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Norway U21
2:0
Sep 5, 2002 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Denmark U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osula W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jensen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Norway U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiabema B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mannsverk S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U21 83 / 100
Norway U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U21 Norway U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark U21 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Norway U21 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Denmark U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U21 VS Norway U21
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
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Norway U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
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