Sport Picks

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Denmark U21 vs Poland U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Calista Football Center, Belek
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kozlowski K.
(Penalty)
23'
Sub
Gaaei A. In: Bak V.
Out: Gaaei A.
46'
Sub
Tobiasz K. In: Madrzyk J.
Out: Tobiasz K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Denmark U21 and Poland U21 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Denmark U21
22%
Draws
60%
Poland U21
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Poland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Poland U21 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U21 Poland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Poland U21
3:3
Oct 12, 2018 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Poland U21
1:1
Nov 14, 2017 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Denmark U21
3:1
Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International
Poland U21 vs Denmark U21
1:0
Nov 13, 2009 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Poland U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kjerrumgaard L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyrka A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pienko T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U21 18 / 100
Poland U21 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U21 Poland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Poland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Denmark U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U21 VS Poland U21
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
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Poland U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
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