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Denmark U23 W vs USA U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Mon, Apr 13, 2026
1 - 2
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Rader K.
70' Event
Thygesen S.
1' Event
Perry J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between Denmark U23 W and USA U23 W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Denmark U23 W
30%
Draws
51%
USA U23 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USA U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U23 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Denmark U23 W Clean Sheet 10%
USA U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark U23 W USA U23 W
Matches Played 21 21
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.81 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
Denmark U23 W vs USA U23 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thygesen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

USA U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rader K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark U23 W 30 / 100
USA U23 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark U23 W USA U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U23 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Denmark U23 W scored in 86% of their last 21 outings.

Defensive concern: USA U23 W conceded in 62% of 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Denmark U23 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Denmark U23 W VS USA U23 W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.14
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark U23 W

(Home)
08 Jun
Germany U23 W
2 : 2
Denmark U23 W
04 Jun
Germany U23 W
2 : 0
Denmark U23 W
16 Apr
Denmark U23 W
1 : 0
Scotland U23 W
13 Apr
Denmark U23 W
1 : 2
USA U23 W
25 Oct
Denmark U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
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USA U23 W

(Away)
16 Apr
France U23 W
3 : 4
USA U23 W
13 Apr
Denmark U23 W
1 : 2
USA U23 W
10 Apr
Netherlands U23 W
1 : 1
USA U23 W
01 Dec
England U23 W
2 : 4
USA U23 W
28 Nov
Slovakia W
0 : 1
USA U23 W
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