Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark vs Lithuania

World World

Friendly International 2025 Nature Energy Park, Odense
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Biereth M.
Assist: Hojbjerg P.
18' Event
Eriksen C.
Assist: Biereth M.
23' Event
Dolberg K.
Assist: Schmeichel K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Denmark and Lithuania finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Denmark
15%
Draws
39%
Lithuania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denmark

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Denmark carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Denmark's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Denmark have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%
Lithuania Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark Lithuania
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.73 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Denmark vs Lithuania
5:0
Aug 24, 1993 World Championship
Denmark vs Lithuania
4:0
Sep 22, 1992 World Championship
Lithuania vs Denmark
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Biereth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lithuania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark 86 / 100
Lithuania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark Lithuania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lithuania let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Denmark went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denmark VS Lithuania
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark

(Home)
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2
Denmark
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Lithuania

(Away)
09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0
Lithuania
06 Jun
Lithuania
2 : 1
Latvia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
17 Nov
Netherlands
4 : 0
Lithuania
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