Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Denmark vs Northern Ireland

World World

Friendly International 2025 Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hojbjerg P.
Own Goal
45' Event
Isaksen G.
Assist: Damsgaard M.
46'
Sub
Hazard C. In: Charles P.
Out: Hazard C.

AI Match Summary

Denmark in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Denmark
20%
Draws
40%
Northern Ireland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denmark lately — more wins on the board than Northern Ireland.
  • Denmark are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Denmark Clean Sheet 68%
Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark Northern Ireland
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.79 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Friendly International
Denmark vs Northern Ireland
2:1
Nov 20, 2023 Euro
Northern Ireland vs Denmark
2:0
Jun 16, 2023 Euro
Denmark vs Northern Ireland
1:0
Nov 17, 2007 Euro
Northern Ireland vs Denmark
2:1
Oct 7, 2006 Euro
Denmark vs Northern Ireland
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark Compare

Top Goalscorer Isaksen G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Northern Ireland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark 50 / 100
Northern Ireland 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark Northern Ireland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Denmark remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Northern Ireland has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Denmark VS Northern Ireland
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark

(Home)
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0
Wales
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1
Ukraine
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0
Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2
Denmark
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Northern Ireland

(Away)
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1
Northern Ireland
08 Jun
France
3 : 1
Northern Ireland
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Guinea
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1
Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Italy
2 : 0
Northern Ireland
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