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Denmark W vs Netherlands W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Blue Water Arena, Esbjerg
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Brugts E.
Assist: Groenen J.
27' Event
van de Donk D.
Assist: Egurrola D.
46'
Sub
Bruun S. In: Thomsen J.
Out: Bruun S.

AI Match Summary

Netherlands W in this Friendly International Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Denmark W
30%
Draws
33%
Netherlands W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denmark W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Denmark W haven't matched Netherlands W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Denmark W a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Netherlands W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 18%
Netherlands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark W Netherlands W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.8 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Denmark W vs Netherlands W
1:2
Nov 15, 2022 Friendly International Women
Netherlands W vs Denmark W
2:0
Oct 9, 2018 World Cup Women
Denmark W vs Netherlands W
1:2
Oct 5, 2018 World Cup Women
Netherlands W vs Denmark W
2:0
Mar 2, 2018 Algarve Cup Women
Denmark W vs Netherlands W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kramer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Netherlands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brugts E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van de Donk D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark W 58 / 100
Netherlands W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark W Netherlands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Denmark W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Denmark W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Netherlands W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Denmark W VS Netherlands W
2 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark W

(Home)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
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Netherlands W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2
Netherlands W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1
Ireland W
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