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Denmark W vs Sweden W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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UEFA Nations League Women Odense Isstadion, Odense
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

1 - 2
FT
Sweden W Logo

Sweden W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sembrant L.
Assist: Bennison H.
17' Event
Harder P.
(Penalty)
31'
Angeldal F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sweden W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Denmark W
35%
Draws
20%
Sweden W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denmark W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Denmark W have won more games recently than Sweden W.
  • Model gives Denmark W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark W Sweden W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Denmark W vs Sweden W
2:1
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Sweden W vs Denmark W
1:2
Jul 4, 2025 Euro Women
Denmark W vs Sweden W
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Denmark W
6:1
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Sweden W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sembrant L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rolfo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark W 76 / 100
Sweden W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark W Sweden W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Denmark W scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Denmark W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Sweden W conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Denmark W VS Sweden W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark W

(Home)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Sweden W

(Away)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)