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Denmark W vs Wales W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Odense Isstadion, Odense
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

1 - 0
FT
Wales W Logo

Wales W

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Davies M. In: Griffiths A.
Out: Davies M.
32'
Harder P.
46'
Sub
Powell E. In: Jones C.
Out: Powell E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denmark W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Denmark W
30%
Draws
38%
Wales W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denmark W lately — more wins on the board than Wales W.
  • Win probability leans Wales W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Denmark W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 15%
Wales W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denmark W Wales W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Wales W
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Wales W vs Denmark W
1:2
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Wales W
2:1
Sep 26, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Wales W vs Denmark W
1:5
Apr 13, 2021 Friendly International Women
Wales W vs Denmark W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Harder P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Wales W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denmark W 27 / 100
Wales W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denmark W Wales W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denmark W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Denmark W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Wales W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Denmark W VS Wales W
2 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Denmark W

(Home)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Wales W

(Away)
09 Jun
Wales W
3 : 1
Czech Republic W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Albania W
0 : 1
Wales W
14 Apr
Wales W
4 : 0
Albania W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)