Sport Picks
Denver Summit W vs Bay FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
NWSL Women Centennial Stadium, Centennial, CO 
Match Events
42'
42'
Heaps L.
Assist: Means N.
57'
57'
Sonis J.
Assist: Ryan Y.
63'
63'
Sub
Pfeiffer A. In: Barry K.
Out: Pfeiffer A.
AI Match Summary
The NWSL Women game between Denver Summit W and Bay FC W finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denver Summit W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Denver Summit W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Denver Summit W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 20%
Bay FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Denver Summit W | Bay FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Bay FC W
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 NWSL Women
Bay FC W vs Denver Summit W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Denver Summit W Compare
Top Goalscorer Heaps L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sonis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Bay FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hutton C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Huff T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Denver Summit W 85 / 100
Bay FC W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Denver Summit W Bay FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Denver Summit W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Bay FC W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Denver Summit W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Denver Summit W VS Bay FC W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Denver Summit W
(Home) 04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3 Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1 Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
06 Sept
Denver Summit W
3 : 0 Gotham FC W
30 Aug
Denver Summit W
6 : 1 Chicago Stars W
09 Aug
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 3
Bay FC W
(Away) 03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3 Orlando Pride W
20 Sept
Bay FC W
2 : 0 Racing Louisville W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kansas City Current W
5 : 1 Bay FC W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2 Bay FC W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
30 Aug
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Bay FC W
15 Aug
Utah Royals W
3 : 2 Bay FC W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 35:21 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave W | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:28 | 51 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 39:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44:35 | 46 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:38 | 44 |
| 6 | Angel City W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns FC W | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 50:39 | 42 |
| 9 | Seattle Reign W | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 45:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride W | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 36:43 | 33 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:39 | 30 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 36:52 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars W | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15:63 | 17 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
