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Denver Summit W vs Chicago Stars W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Centennial Stadium, Centennial, CO
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Match Events

13' Event
Sonis J.
Assist: Yamamoto Y.
19' Event
Kossler M.
Assist: Heaps L.
41'
Ouahabi L.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Denver Summit W and Chicago Stars W finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denver Summit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Denver Summit W
30%
Draws
8%
Chicago Stars W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Denver Summit W come out ahead of Chicago Stars W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Denver Summit W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denver Summit W Chicago Stars W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.79 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Denver Summit W
0:3
Aug 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Chicago Stars W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denver Summit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kossler M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sonis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Chicago Stars W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grosso J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denver Summit W 85 / 100
Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denver Summit W Chicago Stars W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chicago Stars W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Denver Summit W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Denver Summit W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Denver Summit W VS Chicago Stars W
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Denver Summit W

(Home)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
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Chicago Stars W

(Away)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)