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Denver Summit W vs Orlando Pride W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NWSL Women Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
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Match Events

10' Event
Gaetino E.
46'
Sub
Yates S. In: Angelina
Out: Yates S.
46'
Sub
Mace H. In: Payne N.
Out: Mace H.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Denver Summit W and Orlando Pride W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denver Summit W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Denver Summit W
30%
Draws
33%
Orlando Pride W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Denver Summit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Orlando Pride W haven't matched Denver Summit W's recent run of results.
  • Denver Summit W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Denver Summit W Clean Sheet 16%
Orlando Pride W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Denver Summit W Orlando Pride W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 NWSL Women
Denver Summit W vs Orlando Pride W
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Orlando Pride W vs Denver Summit W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Denver Summit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaetino E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Orlando Pride W Compare

Top Goalscorer Banda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Denver Summit W 66 / 100
Orlando Pride W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Denver Summit W Orlando Pride W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denver Summit W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denver Summit W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Orlando Pride W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Denver Summit W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Denver Summit W VS Orlando Pride W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Denver Summit W

(Home)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Kansas City Current W
4 : 1
Denver Summit W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 2
Bay FC W
12 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 3
Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 6

Orlando Pride W

(Away)
03 Oct
Orlando Pride W
1 : 2
San Diego Wave W
27 Sept
Bay FC W
1 : 3
Orlando Pride W
19 Sept
Orlando Pride W
1 : 4
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Sept
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
Orlando Pride W
07 Sept
Orlando Pride W
3 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)