Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Aubameyang P.

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. A Coruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dep. A Coruna
35%
Draws
32%
Lugo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. A Coruna lately — more wins on the board than Lugo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 20%
Lugo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Lugo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo
4:1
Sep 2, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Dep. A Coruna
0:3
Mar 1, 2020 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 LaLiga2
Lugo vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Aubameyang P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lugo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 36 / 100
Lugo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Lugo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. A Coruna scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Lugo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Dep. A Coruna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Lugo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
12 Aug
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Real Madrid
08 Aug
Genoa
0 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
06 Aug
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
01 Aug
St. Pauli
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
29 Jul
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 0
Lugo
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Lugo

(Away)
12 Aug
Bergantinos
0 : 3
Lugo
01 Aug
Lugo
2 : 0
Deportivo Fabril
29 Jul
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 0
Lugo
25 Jul
Lugo
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
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