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Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Aubameyang P.

AI Match Summary

Dep. A Coruna in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dep. A Coruna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dep. A Coruna
35%
Draws
53%
Lugo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lugo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugo lately — more wins on the board than Dep. A Coruna.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Lugo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 17%
Lugo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. A Coruna Lugo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.46 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo
1:0
Mar 3, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo
4:1
Sep 2, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Dep. A Coruna
0:3
Mar 1, 2020 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Lugo
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 LaLiga2
Lugo vs Dep. A Coruna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. A Coruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Aubameyang P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lugo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. A Coruna 20 / 100
Lugo 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. A Coruna Lugo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. A Coruna scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Dep. A Coruna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Lugo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. A Coruna VS Lugo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. A Coruna

(Home)
02 Oct
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 3
FC Porto
25 Sept
Penafiel
2 : 2
Dep. A Coruna
20 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
1 : 1
Betis
16 Sept
Dep. A Coruna
0 : 1
Sevilla
13 Sept
Getafe
1 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
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Lugo

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Lugo
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
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