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Dep. Cali vs Cucuta

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
11:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dep. Cali host Cucuta in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Dep. Cali at 1.25 goals for, 0.93 against; Cucuta at 1.03 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Dep. Cali have won 3 to Cucuta's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.06, favoring Dep. Cali. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dep. Cali
35%
Draws
47%
Cucuta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cucuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cucuta taking it.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 20%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali Cucuta
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Dep. Cali
0:2
Sep 23, 2020 Primera A
Cucuta vs Dep. Cali
3:3
Aug 30, 2020 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Cucuta
0:0
Sep 22, 2019 Primera A
Cucuta vs Dep. Cali
1:4
Mar 31, 2019 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Cucuta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali 28 / 100
Cucuta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali Cucuta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cucuta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Cali scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Cucuta let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Cali has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali VS Cucuta
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali

(Home)
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1
Bucaramanga
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Dep. Cali
23 Aug
Dep. Cali
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
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Cucuta

(Away)
05 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 2
Dep. Pasto
01 Sept
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Cucuta
26 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 0
Alianza
23 Aug
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Cucuta
19 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 1
Inter Bogotá
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 8 6 2 0 20:4 20
2 Millonarios 10 4 4 2 12:8 16
3 Deportes Tolima 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
4 Atl. Nacional 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
5 Ind. Medellin 7 5 0 2 13:8 15
6 Bucaramanga 7 3 4 0 10:6 13
7 Santa Fe 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Dep. Cali 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
9 Inter Bogotá 9 2 5 2 11:12 11
10 Llaneros 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
11 Aguilas Doradas 7 2 4 1 10:10 10
12 Once Caldas 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
13 Cucuta 9 2 3 4 9:15 9
14 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 9 1 5 3 10:12 8
15 Chico 7 2 2 3 6:13 8
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
17 Dep. Pereira 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
18 Alianza 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
19 Junior 7 0 3 4 8:13 3
20 Dep. Pasto 8 0 2 6 7:15 2
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)