Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Deportivo Cali, Palmira
Sun, Sep 21, 2025
2 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Montoya Z.
22'
Ibarguen K.
32'
Diaz I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Dep. Cali W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dep. Cali W
6%
Draws
4%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali W come out ahead of Indep. Santa Fe W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Cali W taking it.
  • Dep. Cali W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dep. Cali W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Dep. Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Cali W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 22 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Cali W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:0
Aug 17, 2024 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Dep. Cali W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cobos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Cali W 95 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Cali W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Cali W scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Dep. Cali W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Indep. Santa Fe W conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Cali W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Cali W

(Home)
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
20 May
Bucaramanga W
1 : 4
Dep. Cali W
15 May
Llaneros W
0 : 5
Dep. Cali W
09 May
Dep. Cali W
4 : 0
Real Santander W
03 May
America de Cali W
0 : 1
Dep. Cali W
Page 1 of 7

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4
Indep. Santa Fe W
23 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
11 May
Junior W
1 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
03 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Orsomarso W0
Indep. Santa Fe W1
Atl. Nacional W2
Dep. Cali W3
Final
Indep. Santa Fe W1
Dep. Cali W2