Sport Picks
Dep. Cuenca vs Macara
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar 
AI Match Summary
Dep. Cuenca play Macara in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dep. Cuenca averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Macara averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Dep. Cuenca won 2, Macara won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Dep. Cuenca and 0.76 for Macara. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dep. Cuenca picked up more points recently compared to Macara.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.76 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Cuenca | Macara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Cuenca Compare
Macara Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Cuenca scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Macara let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Dep. Cuenca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Macara lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 29 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 27 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | 23 |
| 9 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | 21 |
| 11 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 14 | Delfin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | 17 |
| 15 | Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |