Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Salvador A.
18'
Aguerre F.
28' Event
Salvador A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dep. Merlo
20%
Draws
40%
Argentino de Merlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Argentino de Merlo haven't matched Dep. Merlo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Merlo Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:2
Mar 28, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
4:0
Feb 25, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vallejo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvador A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 41 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Merlo Argentino de Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Merlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Argentino de Merlo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Argentino de Merlo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dep. Merlo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo VS Argentino de Merlo
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Merlo

(Home)
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1
Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0
Defensores Unidos
31 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Dep. Merlo
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Argentino de Merlo

(Away)
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
CSD Liniers
1 : 2
Argentino de Merlo
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
30 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0
Villa Dalmine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 37 17 13 7 38:21 64
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 37 14 12 11 38:33 54
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
12 Dock Sud 36 10 14 12 38:38 44
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 37 9 15 13 29:36 42
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Flandria 36 10 8 18 32:45 38
20 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
21 UAI Urquiza 37 4 20 13 18:33 32
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)