Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Salvador A.
18'
Aguerre F.
28' Event
Salvador A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dep. Merlo
39%
Draws
31%
Argentino de Merlo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Merlo haven't matched Argentino de Merlo's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Merlo Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:2
Mar 28, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Dep. Merlo
4:0
Feb 25, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Argentino de Merlo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vallejo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvador A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 41 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Merlo Argentino de Merlo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Dep. Merlo scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Argentino de Merlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Dep. Merlo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo VS Argentino de Merlo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi24138336:1847
2Villa Dalmine24137430:1446
3Talleres Remedios Escalada24137427:1146
4Excursionistas24136535:1745
5Deportivo Camioneros24118528:1741
6Sportivo Italiano24108624:2038
7Real Pilar24107727:2537
8Argentino de Merlo2497824:2134
9Comunicaciones2497828:2634
10Deportivo Armenio2496926:2833
11San Martin Burzaco24711623:2032
12Laferrere2488826:3032
13Dep. Merlo2488827:3532
14Dock Sud2469925:2427
15Argentino de Quilmes2469924:2827
16CSD Liniers24681016:2426
17Defensores Unidos24591020:2724
18Brown Adrogue24591016:2724
19UAI Urquiza24314712:2023
20Flandria24651319:3123
21Villa San Carlos244101024:3022
22Ituzaingo24171617:4110