Sport Picks
Dep. Merlo vs Flandria
Argentina
Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ramos D.
3'
3'
Sandoval I.
(Penalty)
12'
12'
Mendoza J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Dep. Merlo and Flandria finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Merlo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Merlo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Flandria's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Dep. Merlo have produced (0.86).
- Model gives Dep. Merlo a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 68%
Flandria Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Merlo | Flandria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Flandria
2:1
May 9, 2026 Primera B
Flandria vs Dep. Merlo
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Primera B
Flandria vs Dep. Merlo
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Flandria
0:0
Aug 3, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Flandria
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Merlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Rosa J. E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Flandria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendoza J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Merlo 50 / 100
Flandria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Merlo Flandria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dep. Merlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Flandria let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Dep. Merlo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Flandria's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Merlo VS Flandria
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Merlo
(Home) 05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Dock Sud
08 Aug
Dep. Merlo
0 : 4 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
Flandria
(Away) 04 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 1 Flandria
28 Sept
Flandria
1 : 2 Dock Sud
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
13 Sept
Flandria
2 : 1 Deportivo Camioneros
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1 Flandria
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 1 Flandria
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
05 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
3 : 1 Flandria
25 Aug
Villa San Carlos
3 : 2 Flandria
15 Aug
Real Pilar
0 : 0 Flandria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40:23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43:29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
