Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Atardo G.
26'
Aguirre D. E.
28' Event
Benitez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Dep. Merlo and Laferrere finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Merlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Dep. Merlo
11%
Draws
80%
Laferrere
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Laferrere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Merlo have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Laferrere are scoring more at 1.63.
  • Win probability leans Laferrere's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 10%
Laferrere Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Merlo Laferrere
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Primera B
Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Laferrere
0:0
May 19, 2024 Primera B
Laferrere vs Dep. Merlo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguerre F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Laferrere Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 10 / 100
Laferrere 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Merlo Laferrere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Merlo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Laferrere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dep. Merlo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo VS Laferrere
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Merlo

(Home)
18 Jul
CSD Liniers
1 : 1
Dep. Merlo
14 Jul
Dep. Merlo
3 : 2
Real Pilar
10 Jul
UAI Urquiza
0 : 0
Dep. Merlo
04 Jul
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2
Villa Dalmine
27 Jun
Excursionistas
5 : 0
Dep. Merlo
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Laferrere

(Away)
18 Jul
Laferrere
2 : 0
Ituzaingo
14 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 1
Laferrere
10 Jul
Laferrere
1 : 1
Deportivo Armenio
04 Jul
Flandria
1 : 2
Laferrere
28 Jun
Laferrere
1 : 1
Argentino de Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)