Sport Picks
Dep. Merlo vs Real Pilar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
5'
5'
Figueredo L.
21'
21'
Aguerre F.
37'
37'
Vallejo L.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Dep. Merlo and Real Pilar finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Merlo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Pilar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Pilar carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Dep. Merlo taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 68%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Merlo | Real Pilar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Real Pilar
3:2
Mar 4, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Dep. Merlo
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs Dep. Merlo
0:0
May 18, 2025 Primera B
Dep. Merlo vs Real Pilar
1:0
Dec 19, 2020 Primera C
Dep. Merlo vs Real Pilar
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dep. Merlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguerre F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vallejo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Real Pilar Compare
Top Goalscorer Camargo T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blanco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Merlo 51 / 100
Real Pilar 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Merlo Real Pilar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Pilar has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Dep. Merlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Dep. Merlo's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Merlo VS Real Pilar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Merlo
(Home) 05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
26 Sept
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
13 Sept
Argentino de Quilmes
1 : 0 Dep. Merlo
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Brown Adrogue
20 Sept
Dep. Merlo
2 : 1 Flandria
05 Sept
Dep. Merlo
0 : 0 Defensores Unidos
26 Aug
Dep. Merlo
1 : 2 Dock Sud
08 Aug
Dep. Merlo
0 : 4 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 3
Real Pilar
(Away) 03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2 Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Real Pilar
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1 Real Pilar
29 Aug
Laferrere
1 : 1 Real Pilar
22 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
0 : 1 Real Pilar
08 Aug
Argentino de Quilmes
0 : 0 Real Pilar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40:23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43:29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
