Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires

Dep. Merlo

1 - 2

Villa Dalmine

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Da Rosa J. E.

20'

Agorreca N.

30'

Solis M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villa Dalmine in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villa Dalmine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Dep. Merlo

Draws

90%

Villa Dalmine

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villa Dalmine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Dep. Merlo haven't matched Villa Dalmine's recent run of results.
Model gives Villa Dalmine a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Dep. Merlo Clean Sheet 13%

Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Merlo	Villa Dalmine
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	15
Draws	10	10
Losses	9	4
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera B

Dep. Merlo vs Villa Dalmine

1:2

Feb 22, 2026 Primera B

Villa Dalmine vs Dep. Merlo

0:1

Aug 3, 2025 Primera B

Dep. Merlo vs Villa Dalmine

0:0

Mar 15, 2025 Primera B

Villa Dalmine vs Dep. Merlo

0:2

Sep 28, 2024 Primera B

Villa Dalmine vs Dep. Merlo

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Villa Dalmine Compare

Top Goalscorer Agorreca N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ponzo T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Merlo 10 / 100

Villa Dalmine 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Merlo Villa Dalmine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Merlo scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Dep. Merlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Villa Dalmine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo VS Villa Dalmine

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Merlo

(Home)

18 Jul

CSD Liniers

1 : 1

Dep. Merlo

14 Jul

Dep. Merlo

3 : 2

Real Pilar

10 Jul

UAI Urquiza

0 : 0

Dep. Merlo

04 Jul

Dep. Merlo

1 : 2

Villa Dalmine

27 Jun

Excursionistas

5 : 0

Dep. Merlo

Page 1 of 6

Villa Dalmine

(Away)

18 Jul

Villa Dalmine

0 : 0

Defensores Unidos

14 Jul

Comunicaciones

0 : 0

Villa Dalmine

10 Jul

Villa Dalmine

2 : 1

Dock Sud

04 Jul

Dep. Merlo

1 : 2

Villa Dalmine

27 Jun

Villa Dalmine

0 : 1

Deportivo Camioneros

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Sarandi	26	14	8	4	37:19	50
2	Excursionistas	26	14	7	5	37:17	49
3	Talleres Remedios Escalada	26	14	7	5	29:13	49
4	Villa Dalmine	26	13	9	4	30:14	48
5	Deportivo Camioneros	26	13	8	5	31:17	47
6	Sportivo Italiano	26	12	8	6	27:21	44
7	Comunicaciones	26	10	8	8	30:26	38
8	Laferrere	26	10	8	8	29:30	38
9	Real Pilar	26	10	7	9	29:29	37
10	Deportivo Armenio	26	10	7	9	30:31	37
11	Dep. Merlo	26	9	9	8	31:38	36
12	San Martin Burzaco	26	8	11	7	26:23	35
13	Argentino de Merlo	26	9	8	9	26:24	35
14	Dock Sud	26	7	10	9	26:24	31
15	Argentino de Quilmes	26	7	10	9	25:28	31
16	CSD Liniers	26	6	9	11	17:26	27
17	Flandria	26	7	5	14	20:32	26
18	Defensores Unidos	26	5	10	11	20:29	25
19	UAI Urquiza	26	3	15	8	12:22	24
20	Brown Adrogue	26	5	9	12	16:29	24
21	Villa San Carlos	26	4	10	12	24:33	22
22	Ituzaingo	26	1	7	18	18:45	10

Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)

Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)

Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)