Sport Picks

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Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Defensor San Alejandro in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensor San Alejandro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dep. Municipal
6%
Draws
90%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Municipal average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Defensor San Alejandro's 0.
  • Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Dep. Municipal Clean Sheet 24%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Municipal Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal
1:2
Jul 19, 2014 Liga 2
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:2
Oct 6, 2013 Liga 2
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:1
Jun 30, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Municipal 10 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Municipal Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Defensor San Alejandro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Defensor San Alejandro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dep. Municipal scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Municipal VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Municipal

(Home)
27 Sept
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
Dep. Municipal
21 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3
Santos FC
16 Sept
Deportivo Coopsol
3 : 0
Dep. Municipal
12 Sept
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
Dep. Municipal
08 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3
Alianza Huanuco
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Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Municipal30187549:2961
2Deportivo Coopsol30177653:2658
3Carlos Mannucci30174946:3255
4Alianza Huanuco30158751:3053
5Willy Serrato301210844:3746
6Union Huaral301171238:3740
7Defensor San Alejandro301091137:3739
8Atl. Minero301091130:4039
9Atletico Torino309101137:3437
10Pacifico30981333:4435
11Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)301161336:5035
12Sport Boys30813942:4733
13Sport Victoria307101331:3831
14Comerciantes Unidos30791429:3630
15Jose Galvez307101325:3925
16Walter Ormeno30491721:4619
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)