Sport Picks
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Segunda Division 2014 
AI Match Summary
Defensor San Alejandro in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Defensor San Alejandro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Dep. Municipal lately — more wins on the board than Defensor San Alejandro.
- Model gives Defensor San Alejandro a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dep. Municipal Clean Sheet 24%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Municipal | Defensor San Alejandro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.44 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal
1:2
Jul 19, 2014 Liga 2
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro
1:2
Oct 6, 2013 Liga 2
Dep. Municipal vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:1
Jun 30, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Dep. Municipal
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dep. Municipal 10 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dep. Municipal Defensor San Alejandro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Defensor San Alejandro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Defensive concern: Defensor San Alejandro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Defensor San Alejandro lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Dep. Municipal scored in 59% of their last 37 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dep. Municipal VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Municipal
(Home) 27 Sept
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
21 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Santos FC
16 Sept
Deportivo Coopsol
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
12 Sept
ADA Jaen
3 : 0 Dep. Municipal
08 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 8
21 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Santos FC
08 Sept
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Alianza Huanuco
31 Aug
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Llacuabamba
21 Aug
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 Deportivo Coopsol
17 Aug
Dep. Municipal
0 : 3 ADA Jaen
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Defensor San Alejandro
(Away) 30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0 Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2 Sport Victoria
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23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2 Defensor San Alejandro
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
26 Oct
Union Huaral
2 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
12 Oct
Atl. Minero
1 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
21 Sept
Atletico Torino
0 : 0 Defensor San Alejandro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Municipal | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 49:29 | 61 |
| 2 | Deportivo Coopsol | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 53:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Carlos Mannucci | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 46:32 | 55 |
| 4 | Alianza Huanuco | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:30 | 53 |
| 5 | Willy Serrato | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Union Huaral | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Defensor San Alejandro | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 37:37 | 39 |
| 8 | Atl. Minero | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:40 | 39 |
| 9 | Atletico Torino | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:34 | 37 |
| 10 | Pacifico | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 33:44 | 35 |
| 11 | Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 36:50 | 35 |
| 12 | Sport Boys | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 42:47 | 33 |
| 13 | Sport Victoria | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 15 | Jose Galvez | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:39 | 25 |
| 16 | Walter Ormeno | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 21:46 | 19 |
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)
