Sport Picks
Dep. Pasto vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto 
AI Match Summary
Dep. Pasto host Alianza in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alianza have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Dep. Pasto have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Dep. Pasto have won 1 to Alianza's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.25, favoring Dep. Pasto. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Dep. Pasto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Dep. Pasto's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dep. Pasto | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dep. Pasto found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Alianza has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Dep. Pasto
(Home)Alianza
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 25:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:18 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 19 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
