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Dep. Pasto vs Llaneros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Pertuz J.
33'
Garavito M.
35'
Contreras J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pasto and Llaneros finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llaneros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Dep. Pasto
15%
Draws
26%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. Pasto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Llaneros have managed 1.12 goals a game lately — Dep. Pasto are scoring more at 1.18.
  • Model gives Dep. Pasto a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 17%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto Llaneros
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Llaneros
0:1
Feb 10, 2026 Primera A
Llaneros vs Dep. Pasto
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Dep. Pasto
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Copa Colombia
Dep. Pasto vs Llaneros
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs Llaneros
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Castaneda F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto 36 / 100
Llaneros 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Llaneros let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dep. Pasto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto VS Llaneros
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto

(Home)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

Llaneros

(Away)
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Junior 13 2 5 6 19:23 11
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pereira 13 1 7 5 8:18 10
20 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)