Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Pasto W vs Inter Palmira W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pavi V.
Assist: Caicedo S.
26' Event
Hernandez A.
38' Event
Garzon S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Dep. Pasto W and Inter Palmira W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter Palmira W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dep. Pasto W
30%
Draws
34%
Inter Palmira W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Pasto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Palmira W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dep. Pasto W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Palmira W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 20%
Inter Palmira W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pasto W Inter Palmira W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Inter Palmira W
2:3
May 17, 2025 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Dep. Pasto W
2:1
Apr 22, 2024 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Inter Palmira W
2:3
Mar 19, 2023 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Dep. Pasto W
3:0
Apr 1, 2017 Liga Women
Inter Palmira W vs Dep. Pasto W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Inter Palmira W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto W 36 / 100
Inter Palmira W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pasto W Inter Palmira W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Dep. Pasto W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Inter Palmira W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Inter Palmira W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto W VS Inter Palmira W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pasto W

(Home)
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
17 May
America de Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2
Fortaleza W
04 May
Once Caldas W
1 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
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Inter Palmira W

(Away)
29 May
America de Cali W
5 : 0
Inter Palmira W
23 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
15 May
Bucaramanga W
0 : 1
Inter Palmira W
11 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 1
Atl. Nacional W
03 May
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Inter Palmira W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)