Sport Picks

Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Departamental Libertad

Dep. Pasto W

1 - 2

Millonarios W

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Viafara F.

12'

Garzon S.

26'

Angel S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Millonarios W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Millonarios W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Dep. Pasto W

Draws

90%

Millonarios W

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Millonarios W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Millonarios W lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pasto W.
Win probability leans Millonarios W's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 10%

Millonarios W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dep. Pasto W	Millonarios W
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	14
Draws	9	11
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	0.5	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Women

Dep. Pasto W vs Millonarios W

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Feb 25, 2025 Liga Women

Dep. Pasto W vs Millonarios W

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Jun 6, 2024 Liga Women

Millonarios W vs Dep. Pasto W

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Feb 18, 2023 Liga Women

Millonarios W vs Dep. Pasto W

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paez Zea K. S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viafara F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Calvo L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pasto W 10 / 100

Millonarios W 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dep. Pasto W Millonarios W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Pasto W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Millonarios W let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pasto W VS Millonarios W

0.5 Goals Scored 2.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional W	13	11	0	2	25:5	33
2	Dep. Cali W	13	10	2	1	29:6	32
3	America de Cali W	13	9	2	2	22:6	29
4	Millonarios W	13	8	4	1	28:7	28
5	Indep. Santa Fe W	13	7	4	2	23:9	25
6	Inter Bogotá W	13	7	1	5	19:14	22
7	Inter Palmira W	13	6	3	4	12:15	21
8	Ind. Medellin W	13	6	1	6	20:15	19
9	Orsomarso W	13	3	6	4	13:13	15
10	Fortaleza W	13	3	4	6	9:18	13
11	Llaneros W	13	3	4	6	9:21	13
12	Junior W	13	2	5	6	11:21	11
13	Bucaramanga W	13	2	2	9	9:33	8
14	Once Caldas W	13	1	4	8	5:19	7
15	Real Santander W	13	0	7	6	3:19	7
16	Dep. Pasto W	13	0	3	10	8:24	3