Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dep. Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Santiago de las Atalayas, Yopal
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Arboleda I. In: Salazar A.
Out: Arboleda I.
26'
Sub
Plata A. In: Largacha J.
Out: Plata A.
51'
Moreno Gomez E. A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Dep. Pereira and Aguilas Doradas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguilas Doradas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dep. Pereira
30%
Draws
47%
Aguilas Doradas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguilas Doradas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas Doradas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dep. Pereira Clean Sheet 17%
Aguilas Doradas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Pereira Aguilas Doradas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.71 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira
2:2
May 21, 2026 Copa Colombia
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pereira vs Aguilas Doradas
1:5
May 5, 2025 Primera A
Aguilas Doradas vs Dep. Pereira
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Pereira Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aguilas Doradas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivaldo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Pereira 31 / 100
Aguilas Doradas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Pereira Aguilas Doradas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguilas Doradas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Aguilas Doradas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Aguilas Doradas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dep. Pereira scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Pereira VS Aguilas Doradas
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Pereira

(Home)
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
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Aguilas Doradas

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
28 Sept
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
18 Sept
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 2
Dep. Pereira
13 Sept
Atl. Nacional
2 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)