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Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente Juniors

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Folke Anderson
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Farfan J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Dep. Santo Domingo and Independiente Juniors finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Santo Domingo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dep. Santo Domingo
30%
Draws
34%
Independiente Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dep. Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Santo Domingo haven't matched Independiente Juniors's recent run of results.
  • Dep. Santo Domingo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dep. Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Santo Domingo Independiente Juniors
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Serie B
Dep. Santo Domingo vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Apr 16, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Dep. Santo Domingo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Santo Domingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Farfan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Independiente Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Santo Domingo 46 / 100
Independiente Juniors 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Santo Domingo Independiente Juniors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Santo Domingo scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Independiente Juniors let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dep. Santo Domingo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Santo Domingo VS Independiente Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1686219:1130
2Atletico FC1669117:1227
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1667317:1125
5Vinotinto1665521:1323
6Cumbaya1656519:1621
7San Antonio1648419:1620
8Dep. Santo Domingo1657413:1119
9LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional1604129:271