Sport Picks

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Dep. Tachira vs Carabobo

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sosa C.
Assist: Sanchez J.
31'
Bilbao J.
35'
Sub
Bilbao J. In: Neira E.
Out: Bilbao J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Dep. Tachira and Carabobo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Tachira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dep. Tachira
20%
Draws
40%
Carabobo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Tachira come out ahead of Carabobo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dep. Tachira a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Tachira Carabobo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Dep. Tachira
1:1
May 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Carabobo
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Carabobo
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Carabobo
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Dep. Tachira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fratta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carabobo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Tachira 50 / 100
Carabobo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Tachira Carabobo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Tachira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Tachira scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Carabobo let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dep. Tachira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Tachira VS Carabobo
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Tachira

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Dep. Tachira
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
Page 1 of 6

Carabobo

(Away)
19 Sept
Universidad Central
1 : 1
Carabobo
15 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
4 : 3
Carabobo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Portuguesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira 6 1 4 1 5:5 7
4 Universidad Central 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Dep. Tachira 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Metropolitanos 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Estudiantes Merida 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)