Sport Picks

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Dep. Tachira vs Monagas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Perez A.
15'
Jaramillo F.
30'
Sosa C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Dep. Tachira and Monagas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Tachira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dep. Tachira
30%
Draws
39%
Monagas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dep. Tachira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 16%
Monagas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dep. Tachira Monagas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Monagas
3:2
Feb 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Dep. Tachira
2:3
Sep 3, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Dep. Tachira vs Monagas
0:1
Aug 20, 2025 Copa Venezuela
Monagas vs Dep. Tachira
1:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Monagas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pollero R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caraballo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maitan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dep. Tachira 31 / 100
Monagas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dep. Tachira Monagas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dep. Tachira scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Monagas conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dep. Tachira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dep. Tachira VS Monagas
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dep. Tachira

(Home)
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
30 Aug
Dep. Tachira
0 : 0
Caracas
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Monagas

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 10 8 1 1 21:8 25
2 Dep. Tachira 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 10 5 1 4 19:12 16
7 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
8 Estudiantes Merida 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
11 Caracas 10 2 4 4 8:13 10
12 Trujillanos 10 3 1 6 11:17 10
13 Zamora 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)