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Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones, Iquique
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Iquique host Magallanes in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Magallanes have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Deportes Iquique have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Deportes Iquique have won 0 to Magallanes's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 4:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.06, favoring Magallanes. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Deportes Iquique
30%
Draws
37%
Magallanes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Magallanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magallanes lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Iquique.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 20%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique Magallanes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Deportes Iquique
4:3
Jul 31, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Deportes Iquique
1:0
Mar 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes
1:1
Sep 27, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs Deportes Iquique
2:2
May 23, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Magallanes
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 36 / 100
Magallanes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique Magallanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magallanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Deportes Iquique's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Magallanes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Deportes Iquique stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS Magallanes
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Iquique

(Home)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

Magallanes

(Away)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
S. Wanderers
2 : 1
Magallanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)