Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones, Iquique
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Venezia A.
(Penalty)
50'
Ayala J.
59'
Lara I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Deportes Iquique
30%
Draws
47%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recoleta lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Iquique.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique Recoleta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta
1:1
Aug 21, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta
2:1
Apr 14, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Iquique
3:0
May 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Iquique vs Recoleta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Iquique Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 32 / 100
Recoleta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Iquique found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recoleta has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Deportes Iquique remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS Recoleta
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Iquique

(Home)
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
04 Sept
S. Wanderers
1 : 0
Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
27 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 3
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 25 12 9 4 43:27 45
2 S. Wanderers 25 12 8 5 40:26 44
3 San Luis 24 11 8 5 38:29 41
4 Magallanes 25 11 7 7 41:38 40
5 Antofagasta 25 10 8 7 42:26 38
6 Recoleta 25 10 8 7 36:33 38
7 San Marcos de Arica 25 9 9 7 31:23 36
8 U. Espanola 25 10 6 9 32:32 36
9 Copiapo 25 9 7 9 37:39 34
10 D. Puerto Montt 25 10 4 11 26:31 34
11 Deportes Temuco 25 8 8 9 40:35 32
12 Deportes Iquique 25 6 10 9 33:30 28
13 Curico Unido 25 6 9 10 22:38 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 25 4 10 11 26:38 22
15 San Felipe 24 5 7 12 16:41 22
16 Rangers 25 4 6 15 23:40 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)