Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Iquique vs U. Espanola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Tierra de Campeones, Iquique
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Iquique host U. Espanola in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Deportes Iquique have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against U. Espanola's 1.1 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor U. Espanola slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.81, favoring U. Espanola. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Deportes Iquique
30%
Draws
16%
U. Espanola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportes Iquique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Espanola have won more games recently than Deportes Iquique.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Iquique taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Deportes Iquique Clean Sheet 20%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Iquique U. Espanola
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs Deportes Iquique
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Deportes Iquique
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs U. Espanola
0:4
Nov 9, 2024 Liga de Primera
Deportes Iquique vs U. Espanola
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Liga de Primera
U. Espanola vs Deportes Iquique
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Iquique 49 / 100
U. Espanola 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Iquique U. Espanola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Iquique Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Espanola let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Deportes Iquique scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Deportes Iquique remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Iquique VS U. Espanola
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Iquique

(Home)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
27 Sept
Antofagasta
4 : 1
Deportes Iquique
23 Sept
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Antofagasta
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
09 Sept
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 7

U. Espanola

(Away)
04 Oct
San Luis
2 : 0
U. Espanola
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
05 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 1
U. Espanola
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)