Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Temuco vs D. Puerto Montt

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Germán Becker, Temuco
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Mancilla D.
41'
Contreras P.
45'
Castro R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Deportes Temuco
15%
Draws
39%
D. Puerto Montt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportes Temuco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt have won more games recently than Deportes Temuco.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Temuco taking it.
  • D. Puerto Montt arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportes Temuco, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 20%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Temuco D. Puerto Montt
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.41 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs D. Puerto Montt
3:1
Apr 21, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Temuco
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Copa Chile
Deportes Temuco vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Temuco
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Copa Chile
Deportes Temuco vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Temuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Astete N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Huanca C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Temuco 49 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Temuco D. Puerto Montt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportes Temuco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Temuco scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: D. Puerto Montt conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Deportes Temuco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Temuco VS D. Puerto Montt
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Temuco

(Home)
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
04 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
23 Aug
Antofagasta
3 : 1
Deportes Temuco
Page 1 of 6

D. Puerto Montt

(Away)
26 Sept
Nublense
2 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
22 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Nublense
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2
Rangers
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)