Sport Picks

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué

Deportes Tolima

3 - 0

Coquimbo

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Zavala C.

18'

Arrieta C.

56'

Sub

Chandia B. In: Vadala G.

Out: Chandia B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Deportes Tolima

30%

Draws

47%

Coquimbo

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Coquimbo lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Tolima.
Model gives Deportes Tolima a 36% chance of winning this.
Coquimbo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Deportes Tolima, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 18%

Coquimbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Deportes Tolima	Coquimbo
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	11	14
Draws	7	9
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.14	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.17	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Coquimbo vs Deportes Tolima

3:0

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Tolima Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gonzalez J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Coquimbo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 36 / 100

Coquimbo 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Deportes Tolima Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportes Tolima's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Coquimbo let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Deportes Tolima went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Coquimbo

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Tolima

(Home)

03 Oct

Deportes Tolima

0 : 0

Chico

27 Sept

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

2 : 2

Deportes Tolima

20 Sept

Deportes Tolima

1 : 1

America De Cali

16 Sept

Once Caldas

1 : 0

Deportes Tolima

12 Sept

Santa Fe

1 : 0

Deportes Tolima

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Coquimbo

(Away)

07 Oct

Coquimbo

2 : 1

Cobreloa

22 Sept

Cobreloa

1 : 2

Coquimbo

16 Sept

Coquimbo

0 : 1

Huachipato

12 Sept

Cobresal

3 : 2

Coquimbo

06 Sept

U. De Chile

4 : 2

Coquimbo

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