Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Balanta J.
16'
Velasquez J.
33' Event
Torres Patino J. P.
Assist: Guzman S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza C.E.I.F. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportes Tolima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Deportes Tolima
28%
Draws
50%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportes Tolima come out ahead of Fortaleza C.E.I.F. on wins alone.
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 25%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Tolima Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2026 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2:0
Dec 8, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:0
Nov 18, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Deportes Tolima
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera A
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Deportes Tolima
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Tolima Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres Patino J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Tolima 25 / 100
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Tolima Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Deportes Tolima found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Deportes Tolima went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Tolima VS Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210